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Conflict Dynamics

Conflicts in the Middle East, Africa and Asia intersect through flows of people, weapons and resources, creating intricate cross-border conflict systems. These knit the formal and informal, licit and illicit in ways that empower armed actors, enmesh conflict with crime and violent extremism, and ensnare local communities in the network of activities that sustain conflict. XCEPT research on conflict dynamics sheds light on these conflict systems, the transnational networks that sustain them, and how affected communities cope with protracted crisis.

Below you can find and download XCEPT research that helps shed light on these complex conflict dynamics.

Article

28th March 2025
Saudi Arabia’s concerns about Syria have grown since Assad’s ouster. Türkiye’s expanding presence, Iran’s struggle to regain influence, and Israel’s e...

Briefing paper

28th March 2025
While the risks faced by women and girls in situations of conflict and displacement are well documented, there has been less analysis of how these eff...

Blog

28th March 2025
The recent combined development of aid cuts with the increasingly restrictive policies of host countries have created new pressures on a scale that th...

Briefing paper

28th March 2025
Since the 2021 military coup in Myanmar, Kachin State, which lies along the Chinese border, has been deeply affected by ongoing civil conflict. This r...

SPOTLIGHT

XCEPT Workshop: Local, People-Focused Policymaking

26th October 2022
Addressing securitization in conflict zones in Africa, the Middle East, and Asia
READ NEWS

Briefing paper

26th March 2025
Forced displacement comes with myriad challenges for those affected. Forcibly displaced populations are deeply impacted by the circumstances that led ...

Article

26th March 2025
This paper focuses on the Russian, Turkish, and Iranian-led Astana mediation process for the Syrian Civil War from 2012-2024.

Briefing paper

26th March 2025
This briefing paper examines policy considerations around the effects of climate change, specifically reduced water resources in the Helmand River Bas...

Research report

26th March 2025
How is climate change affecting water resources in the Helmand River Basin, and how might competition for these resources drive conflict in the futute...

Blog

26th March 2025
Syria’s new government has moved quickly to curtail Hezbollah’s movements of weapons, money, contraband, and people through Syria.

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